Model output for education. Not advice.
How to Read Any Board
Every row is one name and one trade. The columns always answer the same five questions, left to right: what it is, the trade, why it is there, the odds, and the expected value.
Trade: the exact structure at today's quotes, written the way you would enter it as one order.
Win Odds: our model's chance that the trade ends in profit at its exit.
Heat: the chance of sitting on a loss of 30% of the maximum loss before the exit.
EV: the expected profit as a percentage of the money at risk.
What EV Means
EV is the average result the model expects if the same trade were placed many times, divided by the money at risk. The money at risk is the maximum loss of a spread, or the price paid for a long option.
Stakeout, Rubber Band and Boiler Room print EV per month of holding. Time Machine and Gamma Map print it per trade, because their trades run days, not weeks. Earnings Grenade prints it per earnings report. The cell shows values between -10 and +20. A 20 means 20 or more, and a minus means the model sees no edge. Most boards only show trades with a positive EV; the Boiler Room also shows its near misses down to -1.
The Shared Symbols
⚠️ Thin option market: trade small, limit orders only. On Earnings Grenade it marks a name whose recent report moved more than the options priced.
⏰ Earnings within four weeks.
🇩 Ex-dividend before the exit: a short call can be assigned early.
📌 A dated event, such as an election, falls inside the trade. The forecast cannot see it, so size down or skip.
~ Weekend estimate at model prices. The next live session prices the real trade.
Out by Oct20: an earnings report falls before the normal exit. Close by that date, win or lose.
Jan15'27: an expiry in the next calendar year.
How a Trade Gets on a Board
Each board screens the US market every trading day for one kind of setup. For every name that passes, the trade is priced at that day's real option quotes, after trading costs. Only names with a liquid option market stay. A board with no name that passes stays empty for the day.
Board 1, Autobahn, and Board 2, Value Lane
Both boards buy stocks with a plan: an entry, a stop and a target on every row. Autobahn ranks growth stocks in an uptrend. Value Lane ranks quality businesses that trade cheap against their own history, judged on weekly closes.
🟢 Buy zone. 🔜 Buy above the printed level. 🔙 Wait for a pullback into the zone, also shown when the price has run above it.
🟡 Price is through the level during the day. Buy only if the day closes above it (the week on Value Lane). If the price has run more than 5% past the level during the day, the row keeps its waiting levels: no chasing.
🔺 The target sits at or below the entry level, so there is no room left. On Value Lane a row must offer at least one and a half times its risk from its entry level to its target, or it is benched.
🚩 Stop. 🏁 Target.
"Shares Win" means owning the shares beat every option structure. "Nov20 65/ 85C · Db 19.10" means buy the 65 call, sell the 85 call, pay 19.10. A row that waits (🔜 or 🔙) is priced as bought at its entry level.
A put credit spread can take a row when it beats every way of buying: "Nov20 −95P +85P · 2.10" means sell the 95 put, buy the 85 put, collect 2.10. Close at half the credit.
🎲 No trade: nothing, shares included, shows a good enough expected result today.
⏰ after the print: the earnings report is days away, so the trade comes after it.
⚡ A price from before the open or after the close. ⏳ The row waits for its entry or for the next run.
Board 3, Stakeout
Paid to wait. Every Autobahn and Value Lane row that tells you to wait for a lower price gets a put credit spread sold at that buy price. If the stock never comes down, you keep the credit. If it does and the put is assigned, you own the shares at the price the board wanted, cheaper by the credit. "Nov20 −330P +290P · 10.65" means sell the 330 put, buy the 290 put, collect 10.65. Buy At is the board's price, If Filled is your cost if assigned. Every spread collects at least 1 for every 3 it risks. Close at half the credit, or on the Exit day: 21 days before expiry, earlier when a report or a short expiry needs it.
Board 4, Rubber Band
Names stretched far from their 20-day average, faded with a credit spread: a call spread above the price when a name has run up, a put spread below it when a name has been pushed down or pulled back to support. Stretch counts that distance in standard deviations, so 2σ or more is rare. "Oct30 −150C +160C · 2.40" means sell the 150 call, buy the 160 call, collect 2.40. Every spread collects at least 1 for every 3 it risks. Close at half the credit or on the Exit day. No ex-dividend date falls inside a call spread, and when an earnings report does, the Exit day is the last trading day before it. A name the Autobahn or Value Lane holds long the same day is never faded here. A 🟡 row has not closed back through its level yet; the level stands beside the price, so you know which close to wait for.
Board 5, Boiler Room
The richest option premium of the day, sold as an iron condor (IC) or an iron butterfly (IB). "IC Nov 35/39 ±4 · 58%" means sell the 35 put and the 39 call, buy wings 4 points further out, and collect 58% of the wing width. Priced vs Forecast compares the move the options charge with the move the model expects. Rows with an EV down to -1 stay on the board so you can watch the near misses.
Board 6, Earnings Grenade
Names reporting within a week whose options price a bigger move than the stock usually makes. A row shows only when its trade has a positive EV. Sell the trade today and close it in the session after the report. Fear is that ratio. After shows whether, a week after past reports, the price held, ran or mixed, and Won shows how often selling this premium paid in the last six reports. ☕ reports before the open, 🌙 after the close, ❔ the date is not yet confirmed.
Board 7, Time Machine
A double calendar: sell the near month at two strikes and own the later month at the same strikes. It earns when the near month, which is priced for more movement, decays faster than the later one. Close on the Exit day.
Board 8, Gamma Map
Where option dealers' hedging holds a stock in a range. Walls shows the put wall, the price and the call wall. The trade is an iron condor (IC), or an iron butterfly (IB) when both short strikes meet, inside the walls. A row shows only when its trade has a positive EV. An expiry with a dated event inside it, such as an election, is skipped. Flip is the line below which the range breaks: exit there. Grip ranks how firmly the range is held today, from 0 to 100. A 🏁 in the Trade cell is the day to close; without it, hold to expiry.
Back to the Daily Doze Trade Boards
Everything on MacroDozer is for education only. Nothing published is investment advice, and past performance does not predict future results. Options carry risk, including the loss of the entire amount invested.