🎯 TUESDAY TARGET: Micron (MU) | 👇 Reveal the Play
For twenty years, Big Tech ran a quiet magic trick. It threw off cash and used it to buy back its own shares, shrinking the supply, nudging prices higher, year after year. Fewer slices, same pie, everybody smiles. This year the trick is running in reverse.
Google raises a mountain of equity. Meta again flirts with selling stock. SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic sprint toward public markets. The same Big Tech machines that spent years shrinking their share counts through buybacks are now preparing to print paper like post-war governments. That’s a pretty loud little whisper.
The mainstream story says AI needs more chips, more data centers, more power, more everything. Cool. But the clever twist is that models are also getting smaller, cheaper, and better at running locally. If intelligence becomes more efficient faster than Wall Street expects, today’s compute shortage could age like Michael Saylor’s crypto tattoos.
Meanwhile, Washington can let Iran sweat because time weakens Tehran’s hand. Silicon Valley has the opposite problem. The AI crowd needs capital now, before investors start asking whether the magic machine also comes with margins.
Below, as always, all you need to know and not a word more:
Jobs Too Hot to Cut
May payrolls came in at 172k against expectations near 85k, a four-sigma surprise that torched the rate-cut dream. Markets now lean toward a Fed hike by year-end rather than easing. The irony stings: good economic news became the trigger for the selloff, because a strong labor market hands inflation hawks fresh ammunition. For a market addicted to cheap money, strength itself has become the threat.
SpaceX: Priced for the Next Century
With its mega-IPO looming, bankers justify SpaceX’s $1.75tn tag by pointing far into the future; one projects $3.4tn in revenue by 2040 at an 80% profit margin. Decode that hockey stick: it quietly demands US growth near 14% a year for fourteen years, against a long-run average around 6.5%. That price tag bakes in several centuries of growth, all crammed into a single ticker.
Crypto’s Flow Unwind
Bitcoin pierced its February lows as the broader crypto space lost half its value in eight months. Normally extreme gloom screams buy. This time, plumbing overrides mood, the same hands that bought near $100k have flipped to forced sellers. Strategy, the leveraged Bitcoin proxy, sold coins to fund a dividend, and its credit products keep wobbling.
Gold’s Curious Silence
War, ballooning deficits, money-printing central banks, gold had every excuse to soar, and instead it slid, dragging silver down harder. The troubling part is the weakness arriving despite those tailwinds. Dig in, though, and one culprit dominates: Turkey’s central bank dumped 125 tonnes to defend its currency. With the lira steadier, that selling fades. A temporary vacuum, easily mistaken for a verdict.
THE WEEK: Inflation Takes Center Stage
Wednesday’s May inflation print is the headliner, expected to push back above 4% for the first time in three years, with energy doing the heavy lifting. Thursday’s producer prices feed the Fed’s preferred gauge. Around it: a Bank of Canada hold, a near-certain ECB hike, Friday’s consumer sentiment, China trade and inflation, plus Oracle and Adobe earnings. Then SpaceX’s record IPO lands. All before next week’s first Warsh-led Fed meeting.
Tactics for this Tape
Respect the bounce, but don’t chase it, Friday’s low likely gets retested. Keep your highest-conviction, most liquid longs, and pay up for downside protection while it’s still cheap. Lean toward the unloved corners, financials, healthcare, the ex-AI middle, over crowded momentum. Above all, remember that diversification you can’t see through is no diversification at all.
Don’t guess. Reach out. Let’s build a capital-efficient yet risk-managed strategy from the option chain up.
Get Rich Overnight with Options? Yeah Right...
TUESDAY TARGET: Micron (MU)
Use this letter as your contrarian indicator and go for a 9-day pre-earnings lottery ticket, if you’ve got the spare change. While the market panics over AI capex, MU still sits in the cleanest scarcity lane: memory. The trade is a defined-risk call debit spread aiming for a fast measured move back toward the prior high, maybe a slight double-top overshoot.
If price tags the zone or momentum stalls, take the money and run. Game theory for the richest among us who care the least.
This is not an official trade entry, just food for thought. Official trade entries are posted in the Trade Alerts section. Over there, we relentlessly innovate and deliver novel setups.
All our recent trades and the reasoning behind them can be found in the Trade Alerts section. Think of it as a behind-the-scenes look into our process, so you can decide if it’s worth adopting (or adapting) in your own strategy.
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Tuesday Target is written by Juri von Randow — founder of MacroDozer, professional investor, and trading mentor — delivering institutional-grade trade ideas, market insights, and strategy every week for serious1 investors.
🚨 Educational content only. Not financial advice. Past performance ≠ future results.
If you are only here for the money, look elsewhere. Success requires a dedication to the craft.