🎯 TUESDAY TARGET: China Internet (KWEB) | 👇 Reveal the Play
🧠 Elite Trader Plan: A calm, step-by-step options roadmap to grow your account and tame big swings | 👇 Jump to Details
Wall Street is busy celebrating Black Friday’s nominal spending records, willfully ignoring that higher prices, rather than higher volume, are driving the receipts. While the headlines applaud a resilient consumer, the fractured reality shows a K-shaped economy where the wealthy buy AI stocks and everyone else finances groceries on credit.
Yet the real threat to this fragile equilibrium isn’t at the local mall; it’s lurking in Tokyo. The Bank of Japan is signaling a rate hike just days before Christmas, threatening to choke off the cheap yen liquidity that has fueled global speculation for years. We are already seeing the cracks. Physical reality is reasserting itself against digital hype: Shanghai silver inventories are empty, driving prices to record highs, while Bitcoin and crypto-leveraged equities melt down as the easy money evaporates. When the liquidity tide goes out, owning scarce, physical assets beats holding digital paper promises every time.
Below, as always, the rest of what’s cooking:
The Art of the Geopolitical Flip
Mainstream analysis often mistakes Donald Trump’s erratic policy announcements for chaos, but they follow a clear pattern of calculated destabilization. Whether it is sudden tariff threats or unexpected diplomatic overtures in Ukraine or Venezuela, the goal is to keep adversaries off balance and force renegotiated terms.
The $2.5 Trillion Illiquidity Trap
A quiet but massive risk is building in the insurance sector. Life insurers have accumulated roughly $2.5 trillion in illiquid assets, private equity and private credit, which now make up nearly 40% of their total holdings. This is higher than pre-2008 levels. While these assets offer higher theoretical yields, they are impossible to sell quickly during a crisis.
Vanke & The Death of the “State Put”
The assumption that Beijing will always bail out its “good” property developers is shattering. China Vanke, a state-backed giant once seen as safe, is struggling to pay bondholders and asking for payment delays. This signals that the government’s support is far more limited than investors hoped.
The Week: Silence and Selection
With the Federal Reserve officially in its blackout period, the “Fed Put” is verbally on hold, leaving the stage wide open for President Trump to potentially announce his pick for the next Chair, a reveal that could jolt bond markets more than any economic data point. The macro calendar remains heavy, however: US ISM Services will signal if the manufacturing slump is infecting the broader economy, while the PCE report drops Friday to test the “inflation is dead” narrative. On the corporate front, watch earnings from CrowdStrike and Marvell to see if the AI spending boom is finally bleeding into software revenue or just staying stuck in hardware capex.
Tactics for this Tape
History warns that the first half of December is often a choppy waiting room before the true holiday rally begins. Currently, the market is being sedated by a massive corporate buyback bid, open until December 19, and dealers sitting on “long gamma” positions that mechanically suppress volatility. This creates a deceptive calm. The smart play here isn’t to chase momentum blindly but to use this artificial floor to accumulate quality exposure via capital efficient call spreads. Just remember: that gamma cushion works both ways; once it fades or flips, the air pocket below is real.
Get Rich Overnight with Options? Yeah Right...
TUESDAY TARGET: China Internet (KWEB)
We are initiating a Put Credit Spread (Bull Put) on KWEB. The probabilities and the risk-return profile look favorable for a directional play. If the trade moves against us, we will roll it quickly into next month and turn it into an Iron Condor by adding a Call Credit Spread on the opposite side.
Since this setup is a slight twist on our usual approach, we are risking only half of our normal position size. And given our mediocre at best track record with directional trades, feel free to take the other side.
All our recent trades and the reasoning behind them can be found in the Trade Alerts section. Think of it as a behind-the-scenes look into our process, so you can decide if it’s worth adopting (or adapting) in your own strategy.
🧠 Elite Trader Plan
And if you need a calm, step-by-step options plan that grows accounts and tames big swings, check out the Elite Trader Plan. In 4–8 sessions, we will bring you fully up to speed, all included in the plan.
The Elite Trader Plan
A calm, step-by-step options plan that grows accounts and tames big swings.
Who this is for? Beginners can follow the Starter path. Advanced investor students can skip ahead and dive deep fast.
📅 Regular Mentorship Call
More time = more value.
📌 Advanced Options
📌 Risk Management
📌 Capital Efficiency
Rate: $135 | 👉 Book 60-Minute Call
Elite Trader: $110 | 👉 Book Elite Trader Call
⏳ 30-Minute Session
Less time = more often.
📚 In-Depth Learning
🧠 Strategy Breakdowns
🔍 Trade Reviews
Rate: $75 | 👉 Book 30-Minute Call
Elite Trader: $55 | 👉 Book Elite Trader Call
Tuesday Target is written by Juri von Randow — founder of MacroDozer, professional investor, and trading mentor — delivering institutional-grade trade ideas, market insights, and strategy every week for serious investors.
🚨 Educational content only. Not financial advice. Past performance ≠ future results.