Executive Summary
BrainDoζer Theme: S&P 500 implied volatility (VIX) always reverts to the mean.
UVXY, the VIX product in question, has indeed regressed to the mean.
Buying back the risk-defined straddle with 49% return on capital works for MacroDoζzer.
1. Recap Situation
So remember, we wanted to make a difference in these volatile markets, and why not with a volatility product. Fighting volatility with volatility, not sure where to put this, philosophy, romanticism, you decide.
In the investment thesis, in a nutshell, S&P 500 implied volatility (VIX) always reverts to the mean. We introduced UVXY as the most capital efficient and liquid underlying to trade VIX movements. Selling a risk-defined straddle would generate a decent income targeting the mean.
2. Why Now?
As predicted, UVXY has reverted to the mean, and now, as the trade made some quick 49% return on risk capital, it would be foolish not to take it off. There are only 22 days left on the contract, and in case of a sudden volatili…
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to MacroDoζer to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.