🎯 TUESDAY TARGET: Nvidia (NVDA) | 👇 Reveal the Play
Wall Street has spent twelve weeks glued to Iran missiles and to whether Trump signs deals on Tuesdays. Meanwhile, another supply shock of 2026 is unfolding quietly in Hefei, where ChangXin Memory just posted 719% revenue growth and started shipping DRAM into Corsair sticks selling across Europe. The twenty-year Samsung-Hynix-Micron cartel that has silently jacked up PPI for every server and gaming rig is finally cracking. Hyperscaler valuations assume the cartel keeps its pricing power; once Chinese DDR5 floods the market at half price, Meta and Microsoft margins fatten while Korea Inc. takes the bullet.
Same week, different venue. Buried inside Trump’s Memorial Day post sits a play wilder than the Iran headline suggests: Saudi, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, and Jordan all pushed into the Abraham Accords, with Iran invited too. Forty-five years of regional hostility, repackaged as one document. Alhamdulillah or dilusionillah?
And quietly funding all of it? Japan. Tokyo’s 226% debt-to-GDP is the world’s most misread number. Strip out the foreign assets the government complex hoards, and net debt drops to 77%. The planet’s biggest hedge fund disguised as a pension system. As long as the yen keeps sliding, Tokyo keeps winning. The day it doesn’t, everyone’s carry trade may just end at once.
Below, as always, the rest of what’s cooking:
The Most Hated Rally Ever
Macro shorts on Goldman’s prime book hit a 10-year high while AAII bearish sentiment surged to March-low levels despite indices 20% higher. Hedge fund nets sit in the 26th percentile. Translation: institutional investors do not believe this rally, yet keep getting run over. That asymmetry alone keeps the melt-up alive until positioning normalizes.
Investment Banks Won’t Let It Crash
AI now represents roughly 48% of total US market capitalization once you fold in upcoming SpaceX and OpenAI IPOs. Only the 1880s railroad bubble (63%) ever ran higher. The math is uncomfortable, but selling before those mega-listings price is naive; investment banks will not allow a crash before pocketing billions in fees. Trim, do not exit.
GLP-1 Demand Destruction Is Real
Lilly’s retatrutide phase-2 data shows over 30% body weight loss; surgery-level results in pill form. Survey data confirms users permanently cut restaurant visits, takeout, alcohol, and snacking. And the habits stick after stopping. Cuervo down 70% over five years, Diageo collapsing, equal-weight restaurants getting punished.
THE WEEK: Inflation Testing Ahead
US markets reopen after Memorial Day with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, Dallas Fed Manufacturing, and May Consumer Confidence today, followed by a 2-year Treasury auction. Core PCE later this week is the cleanest read on whether AI capex inflation is bleeding into the Fed’s preferred gauge. BoJ Deputy Governor Himino already signaled continued hikes, and ECB’s Schnabel is pushing for a June move regardless of any Iran deal. Mega-cap tech capex updates round out the calendar.
Tactics for this Tape
Trim crowded AI longs into strength, finance downside protection with the rich inverted call skew (e.g. collars on equity positions), and keep dry powder ready for the post-IPO unwind. Pair long equity book with short global bonds; if real yields keep climbing, the bond short may pay for volatility in stocks.
Don’t guess. Reach out. Let’s build a capital-efficient yet risk-managed strategy from the option chain up.
Get Rich Overnight with Options? Yeah Right...
TUESDAY TARGET: Nvidia (NVDA)
NVDA sits at a clean technical retrace after its multi-month breakout while relative valuation multiples remain attractive against its 5-year history. The memory supply shock now underway should lower a key input cost for hyperscalers, supporting margins and keeping capex resilient even as real yields grind higher.
This 220/235/250 call fly structure is a net debit with positive theta that profits from a measured grind higher into July expiration. This setup makes it a high-conviction way to express the a little higher thesis without chasing a melt-up.
This is not an official trade entry, just food for thought. Official trade entries are posted in the Trade Alerts section. Over there, we relentlessly innovate and deliver novel setups.
All our recent trades and the reasoning behind them can be found in the Trade Alerts section. Think of it as a behind-the-scenes look into our process, so you can decide if it’s worth adopting (or adapting) in your own strategy.
🧠 Elite Trader Plan
And if you need a calm, step-by-step options plan that grows accounts and tames big swings, check out the Elite Trader Plan. In 4–8 sessions, we will bring you fully up to speed, all included in the plan.
Elite Trader
📅 60-Minute Mentorship Call
More time = more value.
📌 Advanced Options
📌 Risk Management
📌 Capital Efficiency
Rate: $135 | 👉 Book 60-Minute Call
Elite Trader: $110 | 👉 Book Elite Trader Call
⏳ 30-Minute Session
Less time = more often.
📚 In-Depth Learning
🧠 Strategy Breakdowns
🔍 Trade Reviews
Rate: $95 | 👉 Book 30-Minute Call
Elite Trader: $55 | 👉 Book Elite Trader Call
Tuesday Target is written by Juri von Randow — founder of MacroDozer, professional investor, and trading mentor — delivering institutional-grade trade ideas, market insights, and strategy every week for serious1 investors.
🚨 Educational content only. Not financial advice. Past performance ≠ future results.
If you are only here for the money, look elsewhere. Success requires a dedication to the craft.