🎯 TUESDAY TARGET: Silver (SLV) | 👇 Reveal the Play
Watch the screens this week and you’ll see investors holding their breath for the Trump-Xi handshake in Beijing, oil traders pricing the next Iran headline, and Wall Street betting Bibi will hand Trump a clean victory lap. Look at the side tables instead.
Netanyahu went on 60 Minutes and casually told millions of Americans that Trump committed, to him, that U.S. forces would physically remove Iranian uranium. When pressed on how, Bibi grinned and said he’d dodge the question a second and third time. A foreign prime minister scripting American military policy, live on CBS.
Meanwhile, CBS reported that Pakistan, the neutral mediator shuttling messages between Washington and Tehran, quietly parked Iranian military aircraft, including an Iranian RC-130, on its airbase to shield them from American strikes. Islamabad denies it. The reporters stand by it. Either way, the peace broker may have been hiding the enemy’s planes.
And Xi is hosting Trump in Beijing knowing both men need a photo-op more than a deal. Expect soybeans, Boeing orders, a few tech crumbs, and zero structural change. Markets will rip on the optics.
Three side tables. Three players reading Trump’s cards. And the dealer thinks he’s the house.
Below, as always, the rest of what’s cooking:
The Gamma Bonfire
The S&P just printed five intraday records in five days, and the engine is mechanical, not fundamental. Last Wednesday, traders bought $2.6 trillion notional in S&P calls, the most call options ever transacted in a single session. Dealers are short those calls, so they have to keep buying stock to hedge. Every tick higher forces more buying. Beautiful while it lasts. Brutal when it stops.
Gold’s Quiet Reserve Coup
Gold is now roughly 30% of global central bank reserves. The dollar is 40%. The gap is closing fast. The driver is not goldbug debasement fantasies; it’s emerging market central banks watching Russia’s reserves get frozen in 2022 and accumulating physical, sanction-proof assets. Deutsche Bank’s framework points to gold continuing its climb. If EM allocations move toward 40%, prices could push toward $8,000.
China Tech Gets Its Handshake
Trump and Xi can probably produce a market-friendly photo without solving the structural fight. That may still be enough. China tech remains lightly owned, short interest is meaningful, and prior leader meetings often removed overhangs for a while. A few purchase promises, softer tariff language, or tech concessions could light up KWEB before anyone admits they wanted the trade.
THE WEEK: CPI, PPI, and the Trump-Xi Optics
Today’s April CPI is the anchor. Goldman expects headline at +0.58% and core at +0.31%, both running hot from the Iran war and a one-off shelter quirk from October’s shutdown. Wednesday brings PPI, which feeds the Fed’s preferred PCE measure. Thursday delivers Retail Sales and a wall of Fed speakers. Trump lands in Beijing Thursday for the Xi summit. Powell’s term ends Friday. Plenty of room for fireworks.
Tactics for this Tape
Stay long. Stay hedged. Don’t fight the gamma squeeze, but don’t trust it either. Hedges are historically cheap, and the asymmetry favors owning them. Trim the names that grew themselves into your portfolio. Keep dry powder for the first real disappointment. When everyone is on the same side of the boat, the floor flips fastest.
Don’t guess. Reach out. Let’s build a capital-efficient yet risk-managed strategy from the option chain up.
Get Rich Overnight with Options? Yeah Right...
TUESDAY TARGET: Silver (SLV)
Silver just broke its multi-month triangle, and positioning remains light. Three independent tailwinds stacked together: the AI buildout metal nobody talks about anymore (solar, EVs, grid), a war hedge while Hormuz stays blocked, and an inflation hedge as acyclical CPI keeps grinding.
We don’t need a moonshot, we need a grind toward $90 and silver to camp there into July. Cheap convexity in a market that not too many own.
This is not an official trade entry, just food for thought. Official trade entries are posted in the Trade Alerts section. Over there, we relentlessly innovate and deliver novel setups.
All our recent trades and the reasoning behind them can be found in the Trade Alerts section. Think of it as a behind-the-scenes look into our process, so you can decide if it’s worth adopting (or adapting) in your own strategy.
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Tuesday Target is written by Juri von Randow — founder of MacroDozer, professional investor, and trading mentor — delivering institutional-grade trade ideas, market insights, and strategy every week for serious1 investors.
🚨 Educational content only. Not financial advice. Past performance ≠ future results.
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